Kara-Baltavs
Toktogul
COMPLETEDKyrgyzstan · Premier League · 4/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toktogul · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kara-Balta are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Toktogul are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Toktogul hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (22.1 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Premier League, while Toktogul holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toktogul
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Toktogul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60