Kara-Baltavs
Neftchi
COMPLETEDKyrgyzstan · Premier League · 4/16/2023, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neftchi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kara-Balta are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Neftchi are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Neftchi hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (22.1 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the Premier League, while Neftchi holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Neftchi
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Neftchi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00