Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kaposvar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Kaposvar are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gárdony are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 3.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaposvar hold a 56.5-point power-rating edge (92.2 v 35.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the NB III - Southwest, while Kaposvar holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kaposvar
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Kaposvar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 3.50/1.00