Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kapaz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Turan are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Turan hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Premyer Liqa, while Turan holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turan
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Turan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/1.50