Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qabala · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kapaz 1-0 Qabala
Original prediction
Qabala
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.8% | 31.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.2% | 29.0% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.0% | 39.1% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Qabala
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Qabala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KapazLWWLL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
QabalaWDLLW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
KapazQabala
36.1Attack0.0
38.0Defence66.7
32.4Form0.0
37.6Power23.7
1.09xG1.41