GGOALVIO

Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · 8/6/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Neftchi Baku · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Kapaz are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 0.33 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Neftchi Baku are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Neftchi Baku hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Premyer Liqa, while Neftchi Baku holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Neftchi Baku

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Neftchi Baku has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KapazDDW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.33/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Neftchi BakuWDLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KapazNeftchi Baku
36.1Attack47.2
38.0Defence63.0
32.4Form51.9
37.6Power54.5
0.82xG1.68
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