Kapazvs
Baku Sportinq
SCHEDULEDAzerbaijan · Cup · 10/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kapaz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 12 October 2026 at 15:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 82.9% | 50.5% | -32.5 pts |
| Draw | 7.85 | 11.5% | 22.8% | 11.3 pts |
| Away | 16.29 | 5.5% | 26.7% | 21.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Kapaz
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Kapaz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KapazWDWDW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Baku SportinqLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KapazBaku Sportinq
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
2.02xG1.72