Kansas City Wvs
Washington Spirit W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 10/25/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kansas City W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kansas City W 2-1 Washington Spirit W
Original prediction
Kansas City W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.0% | 39.5% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.6% | 25.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.4% | 34.7% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Kansas City W
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Kansas City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20