GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 3/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Utah Royals W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kansas City W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Utah Royals W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Utah Royals W hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the NWSL Women, while Utah Royals W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Utah Royals W

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

13.2%

Utah Royals W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kansas City WLWLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Utah Royals WWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kansas City WUtah Royals W
51.7Attack58.3
53.3Defence61.7
50.0Form60.0
51.9Power60.9
1.24xG1.53
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