NWSL WomenNWSL Women
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:15
Kansas City W

Kansas City W

Home
LW
22
Full time
San Diego Wave W

San Diego Wave W

Away
W
CPKC Stadium
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Kansas City W(37%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Kansas City W
37%
Draw
35%
San Diego Wave W
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Kansas City W
54
San Diego Wave W
73
Defence
Kansas City W
46
San Diego Wave W
66
Momentum
Kansas City W
50
San Diego Wave W
100
Danger (xG)
Kansas City W
1.35
San Diego Wave W
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Kansas City W)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (San Diego Wave W)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Kansas City W)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (San Diego Wave W)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Kansas City WKansas City W
LWW
San Diego Wave WSan Diego Wave W
W

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Kansas City W37%
Draw35%
San Diego Wave W28%

Kansas City W leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Kansas City W head into this in NWSL Women fixture at CPKC Stadium in mixed form (LW), while San Diego Wave W arrive in mixed form (W). Kansas City W have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for San Diego Wave W over 1 games.

Tactically, San Diego Wave W hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a average Kansas City W defence (46/100), while Kansas City W's attack faces a solid San Diego Wave W backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Kansas City W have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. San Diego Wave W have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Kansas City W and San Diego Wave W in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Kansas City W to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Kansas City W 3675%, Draw 3500%, San Diego Wave W 2825%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Kansas City W

Kansas City W

L
@ Orlando Pride W
11 Jul 2026
03
W
@ Denver Summit W
4 Jul 2026
30
W
vs Houston Dash W
16 May 2026
30
San Diego Wave W

San Diego Wave W

W
vs Washington Spirit W
16 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Kansas City W vs San Diego Wave W?

GoalVio's model predicts Kansas City W to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Kansas City W vs San Diego Wave W?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Kansas City W vs San Diego Wave W?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kansas City W vs San Diego Wave W?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more