GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/24/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kansas City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kansas City W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Portland Thorns W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Thorns W hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the NWSL Women, while Kansas City W holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kansas City W

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

12.2%

Kansas City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kansas City WLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Portland Thorns WWDLWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Kansas City WPortland Thorns W
51.7Attack56.1
53.3Defence50.9
50.0Form54.4
51.9Power54.6
1.62xG1.45
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