Kansas City Wvs
Orlando Pride W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kansas City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kansas City W 2-2 Orlando Pride W
Original prediction
Kansas City W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.4% | 45.9% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.1% | 27.4% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 4.60 | 19.5% | 26.7% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Kansas City W
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Kansas City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60