GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/29/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kansas City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kansas City W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while North Carolina Courage W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and North Carolina Courage W hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 55.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the NWSL Women, while Kansas City W holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kansas City W

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

12.0%

Kansas City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kansas City WLDDWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
North Carolina Courage WWWWLL

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Kansas City WNorth Carolina Courage W
51.7Attack59.3
53.3Defence51.9
50.0Form55.6
51.9Power55.8
1.58xG1.53
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