Kansas City Wvs
North Carolina Courage W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 8/29/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kansas City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kansas City W 3-2 North Carolina Courage W
Original prediction
Kansas City W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.7% | 38.2% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.3% | 28.0% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.0% | 33.8% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Kansas City W
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Kansas City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40