GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kansas City W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kansas City W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Houston Dash W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kansas City W hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the NWSL Women, while Kansas City W holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kansas City W

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

12.9%

Kansas City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kansas City WWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Houston Dash WLLDLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kansas City WHouston Dash W
51.7Attack37.0
53.3Defence51.9
50.0Form37.0
51.9Power44.1
1.64xG0.92
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