Kansas City Wvs
Denver Summit W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/26/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kansas City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kansas City W 4-1 Denver Summit W
Original prediction
Kansas City W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 47.6% | 41.4% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.3% | 23.5% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 28.1% | 35.2% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Kansas City W
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Kansas City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40