GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/10/2026, 4:25:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kansas City W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Kansas City W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Chicago Red Stars W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kansas City W hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the NWSL Women, while Kansas City W holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kansas City W

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Kansas City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kansas City WWLWLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Chicago Red Stars WLLWLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Kansas City WChicago Red Stars W
51.7Attack15.8
53.3Defence40.4
50.0Form22.8
51.9Power29.8
2.11xG0.62
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