Kansas City Wvs
Bay FC W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 10/3/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kansas City W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kansas City W 5-1 Bay FC W
Original prediction
Kansas City W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.5% | 58.1% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.50 | 20.0% | 22.4% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.87 | 18.5% | 19.4% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Kansas City W
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Kansas City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80