Kano Pillarsvs
Sporting Lagos
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 10/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kano Pillars · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kano Pillars 1-1 Sporting Lagos
Original prediction
Kano Pillars
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.2% | 49.7% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.2% | 27.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 5.14 | 17.6% | 23.3% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Kano Pillars
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Kano Pillars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00