Kano Pillarsvs
Doma United
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kano Pillars · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kano Pillars 4-1 Doma United
Original prediction
Kano Pillars
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.3% | 37.9% | -17.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.8% | 28.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 5.34 | 17.0% | 33.7% | 16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Kano Pillars
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Kano Pillars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60