Kanchanaburivs
Police Tero
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/13/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kanchanaburi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kanchanaburi 1-0 Police Tero
Original prediction
Kanchanaburi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 57.9% | 43.3% | -14.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.1% | 28.6% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 4.71 | 19.1% | 28.0% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Kanchanaburi
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Kanchanaburi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20