Kanchanaburivs
Mahasarakham United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kanchanaburi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kanchanaburi 1-1 Mahasarakham United
Original prediction
Kanchanaburi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.0% | 51.6% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.3% | 25.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.81 | 18.7% | 22.8% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Kanchanaburi
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Kanchanaburi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00