Kanazawavs
Shimizu S-pulse
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 9/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kanazawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kanazawa 0-2 Shimizu S-pulse
Original prediction
Kanazawa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.78 | 24.0% | 41.6% | 17.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.4% | 26.4% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.79 | 50.7% | 32.0% | -18.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Kanazawa
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Kanazawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20