Kanazawavs
Renofa Yamaguchi
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Renofa Yamaguchi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kanazawa 1-2 Renofa Yamaguchi
Original prediction
Renofa Yamaguchi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 34.3% | 32.6% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 28.6% | 27.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.0% | 39.6% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Renofa Yamaguchi
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Renofa Yamaguchi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00