Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kanazawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kanazawa 0-1 Nara Club
Original prediction
Kanazawa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 45.6% | 41.9% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 25.8% | 21.5% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 28.6% | 36.7% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Kanazawa
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Kanazawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KanazawaDWLWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nara ClubWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KanazawaNara Club
56.7Attack70.0
53.3Defence46.7
46.7Form66.7
53.5Power62.3
1.88xG1.85