Kanazawavs
Gainare Tottori
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/26/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kanazawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kanazawa 4-1 Gainare Tottori
Original prediction
Kanazawa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.6% | 44.2% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.7% | 26.7% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.32 | 20.7% | 29.1% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Kanazawa
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Kanazawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80