Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ehime FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kanazawa 0-1 Ehime FC
Original prediction
Ehime FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 34.0% | 31.0% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 25.7% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.9% | 43.3% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Ehime FC
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Ehime FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KanazawaLWLLW
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ehime FCLDWWL
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
KanazawaEhime FC
77.8Attack100.0
11.1Defence66.7
33.3Form77.8
43.7Power79.4
1.43xG1.99