Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KAMAZ · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
KAMAZ are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Urozhay are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Urozhay hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the First League, while KAMAZ holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KAMAZ
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
KAMAZ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80