Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Sochi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
KAMAZ are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Sochi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Sochi hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the First League, while FC Sochi holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Sochi
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
FC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00