First LeagueFirst League
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 12:37
KAMAZ

KAMAZ

Home
D
12
Full time
Nizhny Novgorod

Nizhny Novgorod

Away
DL
KAMAZ Stadium
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Nizhny Novgorod(34%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
KAMAZ
39%
Draw
27%
Nizhny Novgorod
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
KAMAZ
34
Nizhny Novgorod
54
Defence
KAMAZ
66
Nizhny Novgorod
27
Momentum
KAMAZ
33
Nizhny Novgorod
17
Danger (xG)
KAMAZ
0.90
Nizhny Novgorod
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (KAMAZ)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Nizhny Novgorod)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (KAMAZ)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Nizhny Novgorod)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
KAMAZKAMAZ
DLL
Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
DL

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
KAMAZ39%
Draw27%
Nizhny Novgorod34%

KAMAZ leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

KAMAZ head into this in First League fixture at KAMAZ Stadium in mixed form (D), while Nizhny Novgorod arrive in mixed form (DL). KAMAZ have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Nizhny Novgorod over 2 games.

The model rates KAMAZ's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Nizhny Novgorod defence, and Nizhny Novgorod's attack at 54/100 against a 66/100 KAMAZ backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

KAMAZ have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Nizhny Novgorod have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between KAMAZ and Nizhny Novgorod in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Nizhny Novgorod to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: KAMAZ 3903%, Draw 2688%, Nizhny Novgorod 3410%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

KAMAZ

KAMAZ

D
@ Rubin
26 Jun 2026
11
L
vs FK Sokol Saratov
16 May 2026
01
L
@ Ural
11 May 2026
02
Nizhny Novgorod

Nizhny Novgorod

D
@ Rubin
17 May 2026
22
L
vs CSKA Moscow
11 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod?

GoalVio's model predicts Nizhny Novgorod to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more