Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
KAMAZ are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lokomotiv are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lokomotiv holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00