Kamatamare Sanukivs
Tochigi SC
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tochigi SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 Tochigi SC
Original prediction
Tochigi SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 26.0% | 31.6% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.3% | 27.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.89 | 47.7% | 41.1% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Tochigi SC
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Tochigi SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40