Kamatamare Sanukivs
Kagoshima United
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kagoshima United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kamatamare Sanuki 3-4 Kagoshima United
Original prediction
Kagoshima United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.55 | 25.5% | 31.5% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.0% | 28.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.6% | 39.8% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Kagoshima United
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Kagoshima United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40