Kamatamare Sanukivs
JEF United Chiba
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 9/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JEF United Chiba · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kamatamare Sanuki 0-2 JEF United Chiba
Original prediction
JEF United Chiba
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.69 | 19.3% | 32.4% | 13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.2% | 27.4% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.61 | 56.5% | 40.2% | -16.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
JEF United Chiba
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
JEF United Chiba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80