Kamatamare Sanukivs
Biwako Shiga
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kamatamare Sanuki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kamatamare Sanuki 0-3 Biwako Shiga
Original prediction
Kamatamare Sanuki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.3% | 39.8% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.5% | 26.9% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.3% | 33.4% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Kamatamare Sanuki
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Kamatamare Sanuki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00