Kalugavs
Mashuk-KMV
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kaluga 0-0 Mashuk-KMV, with an exact score probability of 37%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kaluga 0-0 Mashuk-KMV
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.12 | 28.8% | 21.8% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.2% | 38.0% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 40.9% | 40.2% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.98 · Draw 1.98 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Projected Score
Kaluga 0–0 Mashuk-KMV
Exact score probability: 37%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
40.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KalugaLLLDW
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mashuk-KMVDDDLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KalugaMashuk-KMV
16.7Attack25.0
55.6Defence75.0
16.7Form38.9
32.6Power48.7
0.37xG0.64