Kalugavs
Dinamo Kirov
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Kirov · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kaluga 0-0 Dinamo Kirov, with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kaluga 1-2 Dinamo Kirov
Original prediction
Dinamo Kirov
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.67 | 19.2% | 21.6% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.5% | 33.8% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 51.3% | 44.5% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Projected Score
Kaluga 0–0 Dinamo Kirov
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Kirov
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Dinamo Kirov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60