Kalugavs
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 8/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alaniya Vladikavkaz · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kaluga 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kaluga 1-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Original prediction
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.27 | 27.7% | 27.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.9% | 31.0% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.4% | 41.9% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Projected Score
Kaluga 0–0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Alaniya Vladikavkaz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20