Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalsdorf · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Kalsdorf are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Weiz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalsdorf hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Regionalliga - South, while Kalsdorf holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kalsdorf
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
14.1%
Kalsdorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40