Kalsdorfvs
SV Lafnitz
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - South · 10/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalsdorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kalsdorf 1-1 SV Lafnitz
Original prediction
Kalsdorf
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.3% | 57.6% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.1% | 19.0% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 27.6% | 23.4% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.89 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Kalsdorf
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Kalsdorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20