Kalsdorfvs
Gleisdorf 09
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - South · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalsdorf · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kalsdorf 1-2 Gleisdorf 09
Original prediction
Kalsdorf
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 71.1% | 67.6% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.46 | 16.5% | 18.4% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 7.25 | 12.4% | 14.0% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Kalsdorf
Probability
67.6%
Model confidence
67.6%
Kalsdorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20