GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 4/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IF Elfsborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kalmar FF are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while IF Elfsborg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and IF Elfsborg hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Allsvenskan, while IF Elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IF Elfsborg

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

14.6%

IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kalmar FFDLLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
IF ElfsborgWWDWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kalmar FFIF Elfsborg
43.8Attack43.8
50.0Defence62.5
37.5Form50.0
45.5Power54.4
1.03xG1.24
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