Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalmar FF · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Kalmar FF are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Halmstad are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalmar FF hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 26.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the Allsvenskan, while Kalmar FF holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kalmar FF
Probability
65.2%
Model confidence
65.2%
Kalmar FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00