Kalmar FFvs
Djurgardens IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 9/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Djurgardens IF · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-3 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kalmar FF 0-1 Djurgardens IF
Original prediction
Djurgardens IF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.53 | 20.6% | 13.0% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 24.3% | 18.7% | -5.6 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 55.1% | 68.3% | 13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–310%
Predicted outcome
Djurgardens IF
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
68.3%
Djurgardens IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80