Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BK Hacken · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kalmar FF 0-5 BK Hacken
Original prediction
BK Hacken
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 33.4% | 26.7% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.1% | 24.7% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 39.5% | 48.6% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
BK Hacken
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
BK Hacken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kalmar FFLLLDW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
BK HackenDDLWW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kalmar FFBK Hacken
33.3Attack54.0
50.8Defence52.4
30.2Form52.4
40.0Power54.8
0.98xG1.53