Kallitheavs
Panthrakikos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kallithea · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kallithea 1-0 Panthrakikos
Original prediction
Kallithea
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.8% | 46.5% | -17.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.6% | 28.0% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 7.22 | 12.6% | 25.5% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Kallithea
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Kallithea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00