Kallitheavs
Panserraikos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 9/20/2026, 11:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kallithea · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kallithea 1-0 Panserraikos, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kallithea 2-1 Panserraikos
Original prediction
Kallithea
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.8% | 48.6% | 10.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.9% | 28.1% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.2% | 23.3% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.8 pts
Projected Score
Kallithea 1–0 Panserraikos
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Kallithea
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Kallithea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KallitheaLWLLW
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PanserraikosLWLLW
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KallitheaPanserraikos
51.7Attack0.0
79.3Defence66.7
70.1Form0.0
68.1Power23.7
1.61xG0.48