GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 2 · 9/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kallithea 2-1 Niki Volos

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8631.7%35.5%3.8 pts
Draw2.7932.4%31.4%-1.1 pts
Away2.5335.9%33.2%-2.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–015%
  2. 2.1–115%
  3. 3.1–013%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

31.4%

Model confidence

35.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KallitheaLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Niki VolosLDLLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KallitheaNiki Volos
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.08xG0.92
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