Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kallithea · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kallithea 0-0 Larisa, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kallithea 1-1 Larisa
Original prediction
Kallithea
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 23:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.4% | 39.3% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 31.0% | 32.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 26.6% | 28.4% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Projected Score
Kallithea 0–0 Larisa
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Kallithea
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Kallithea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KallitheaDWWWW
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LarisaDLDWW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KallitheaLarisa
42.9Attack42.9
81.0Defence81.0
76.2Form57.1
69.7Power60.8
0.85xG0.68