Kallitheavs
Asteras Tripolis II
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 9/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kallithea · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kallithea 1-0 Asteras Tripolis II, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kallithea 2-0 Asteras Tripolis II
Original prediction
Kallithea
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.6% | 67.8% | 12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.9% | 22.0% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 5.20 | 17.4% | 10.2% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.2 pts
Projected Score
Kallithea 1–0 Asteras Tripolis II
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Kallithea
Probability
67.8%
Model confidence
67.8%
Kallithea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60