Kalju Nommevs
Trans Narva
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 9/12/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalju Nomme · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Kalju Nomme 3-0 Trans Narva, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kalju Nomme 2-0 Trans Narva
Original prediction
Kalju Nomme
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.6% | 82.1% | 20.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 21.7% | 11.7% | -10.0 pts |
| Away | 5.37 | 16.7% | 6.2% | -10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.6 pts
Projected Score
Kalju Nomme 3–0 Trans Narva
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Kalju Nomme
Probability
82.1%
Model confidence
82.1%
Kalju Nomme has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kalju NommeLLLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Trans NarvaDLLWL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kalju NommeTrans Narva
58.0Attack25.9
67.9Defence23.5
54.3Form22.2
59.4Power26.8
3.14xG0.44